Jovanni and Monisha are joined by Leonardo Flores, a Code Pink Land American campaign spokesperson and coalition organizer, a Venezuela American political analyst and activist with a degree in philosophy. Leonardo has was born in Venezuela and maintains close ties to the social movements that have transformed the country over the past 27 years. He served as a media analyst and later policy advisor at the Venezuela Embassy in Washington, DC before joining Code Pink as Latin American Campaign coordinator from 2019 to 2022. He's a founding member of the Venezuelan Solidarity Network and has worked as a consultant with the Alliance for Cuba engagement and respect.
The discussion covers the January 3 US “shock and awe” attack on Venezuela, including bombings, over 100 deaths, and the abduction of President Nicolás Maduro and Cilia Flores to New York for a show trial after key “Cartel de los Soles” charges were dropped. Leonardo argues the US won militarily but failed to spark a coup, with Venezuelan movements backing acting president Delcy Rodríguez and mobilizing for Maduro’s return. The conversation covers US escalation tactics (airstrikes on boats, oil blockade, attempted no-fly zone), shifting justifications from “narco-terror” to Iran/Hezbollah rhetoric, sanctions’ impact on oil production, and Venezuela’s new hydrocarbon law to attract investment. They discuss sidelined US-backed opposition figures, an amnesty and reconciliation dynamic, diaspora polarization, and concerns about a “Shield of the Americas” as Plan Condor 2.0.
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this is Fortress On A Hill, with Henri, Danny, Kaygan, Jo
Don:vonni, Shiloh, Monisha , and Mike
Jovanni:Welcome everyone to Forgers on the Hill, a podcast about US foreign
Jovanni:policy, anti imperialism, skepticism and the American world of war.
Jovanni:I'm Jovanni here with Monisha.
Jovanni:Hey, Monisha.
Monisha:Hoola,
Jovanni:thank you for being with us today and, uh, um, let's get to it.
Jovanni:It has been two months.
Jovanni:In 14 days since the US President, Donald Trump ordered an unprovoked military
Jovanni:attack on Venezuela and kidnapping.
Jovanni:His sitting President, Nicola Maddo and his wife, first Lady, and first combatant,
Jovanni:a national assembly member, sta Flores, the surprise assault, involved over a
Jovanni:hundred aircraft, drones and helicopters bombing military barracks, power stations,
Jovanni:medical centers, and civilian homes, killing over a hundred people and creating
Jovanni:over the creating cover for American Special Operation forces to abduct, Maduro
Jovanni:and Flo from the presidential residence.
Jovanni:They were then flown out of the country and paraded through the streets of New
Jovanni:York City like trophies from the Roman era before being placed in a Brooklyn
Jovanni:swell, where Ur now faces a show trial on frivolous charges in blatant breach of
Jovanni:diplomatic immunity after his abduction.
Jovanni:After his abduction, New York court swiftly dropped charges alleging Maduro
Jovanni:as the kingpin and cartel leader of a non-existent draw cartel, the principle
Jovanni:pretests for the abduction, along with other charges, while retaining
Jovanni:only weapons, possessions count.
Jovanni:Yet months later, rather than decapitating, Venezuela's government,
Jovanni:Washington's act of geopolitical Shock and NA has backfired.
Jovanni:The Bolivian movement endorses under vice President Desi Rodriguez, and
Jovanni:the spectacle of a capture head of state has transformed meduro into
Jovanni:Latin American Mandela, a lasting similar resistance against imperial
Jovanni:overreach whose image now galvanizing solidarity protests across the G globe.
Jovanni:perhaps the most astonishing thing has been define the deafening silence over
Jovanni:the greatest violence of sovereignty across Latin America, with the exception
Jovanni:of two major countries, Colomb and Mexico, along with Cuba, Nicaragua, and
Jovanni:smaller and until Caribbean nations.
Jovanni:And that of the diaspora living in the us, especially since many had
Jovanni:clung to Latin American unity theme.
Jovanni:When Bad Bunny, super Bowl halftime show was taken as in a front to
Jovanni:Trump's anti-Latino policies, ice terror across the country.
Jovanni:But let's visit this.
Jovanni:Let's revisit January 3rd.
Jovanni:What has happened since?
Jovanni:How does what happen to Venezuela fit into the grand to the American
Jovanni:Grand Political Chess Board?
Jovanni:Here we are today with our guest Leonardo Flores.
Jovanni:Leonardo Flores is a co Pink Land American campaign spokesperson and
Jovanni:coalition organizer, a Venezuela American political analyst and
Jovanni:activist with a degree in philosophy.
Jovanni:Leonardo has was born in Venezuela and maintains close ties to the
Jovanni:social movements that have transformed the country over the past 27 years.
Jovanni:He served as a media analyst and later policy advisor at the Venezuela Embassy
Jovanni:in Washington, DC before joining Code Pink as Latin American Campaign
Jovanni:coordinator from 19, from 2019 to 2022.
Jovanni:He's a founding member of the Venezuelan Solidarity Network and has worked
Jovanni:as a consultant with the Alliance for Cuba engagement and respect.
Jovanni:Welcome to the show, Leonard.
Jovanni:How are you doing today?
Leonardo:I'm doing well.
Leonardo:Thanks so much for the invitation.
Leonardo:I'm really excited to be here with y'all.
Jovanni:It's so good to have you here with us, and like I said, I've been, I've
Jovanni:been following your word for a while.
Jovanni:Um, and I'm happy to have you here and speaking to you at, you know, for the
Jovanni:first time finally speaking with you.
Jovanni:Yeah.
Jovanni:Um, tell us what's been happening in Venezuela since the abduction?
Leonardo:Yeah, I mean, I think the first thing to say about the abduction
Leonardo:and really about the attack in general on January 3rd is that, the US had
Leonardo:a military victory, we could say, but it wasn't a complete victory.
Leonardo:It wasn't a political victory because they were looking for a little bit
Leonardo:more than just kidnapping President Mato and first combatant Cja Flores.
Leonardo:Right?
Leonardo:They were trying to either spark a coup or spark some sort of military rebellion,
Leonardo:start a civil war in the country.
Leonardo:I mean, they really wanted a transition government in place, and they wanted to
Leonardo:clear the path for basically EZ one's fascists to take over, led by Madina Malo.
Leonardo:But that didn't happen, and it, it became clear within hours of the attack
Leonardo:that it wasn't going to happen, right?
Leonardo:Because we're talking about, uh, this blockade, the, the US deployment to
Leonardo:the Caribbean began in August, right?
Leonardo:So they had been basically surrounding Venezuela since August.
Leonardo:And at first, you know, my analysis of it up until kind of December was that
Leonardo:it was really psychological warfare.
Leonardo:It was psychological warfare aimed at breaking down, uh, the Venezuelan
Leonardo:military at causing some sort of cism to have them up, rise against the Malu
Leonardo:government and create some sort of civil war that the US can then intervene in.
Leonardo:And none of that happens.
Leonardo:The bian rela, uh, revolution stayed strong and it's still strong today.
Leonardo:You know, I think there's been a lot of, uh, speculation, especially in the
Leonardo:media, and unfortunately that's kind of bleeding into some of the left and
Leonardo:solid solidarity groups about an alleged betrayal within the re revolution.
Leonardo:But within Minnesota, you know, the movements aren't seeing that.
Leonardo:Uh, the movements are firmly behind Del Rodriguez, the acting president,
Leonardo:and they've been mobilizing constantly since January 3rd, calling for the
Leonardo:return of President Mato calling for the United States to stop.
Leonardo:Its, its hybrid war against Venezuela.
Jovanni:Yeah.
Jovanni:Like you also saw this, like this whole buildup this whole intimidation tactic.
Jovanni:Um, I'm looking for the, uh, uh, for a break, uh, within
Jovanni:the, in the inner circles of, of the, uh, uh, the government.
Jovanni:Perhaps they, uh, uh, uh, like a, a palace revolt or something like that,
Jovanni:A Palace Co or something like that.
Jovanni:That's what I was thinking, that, that that's what they were going for.
Jovanni:Uh, then they escalated the uh, um.
Jovanni:The, they did an escalation, they did an escalating, the tactic of, of
Jovanni:starting to bomb those little, um, uh, speedboats and whatnot out the coast of
Jovanni:Venezuela, Trinidad and all these other places, uh, off of Columbia as well.
Jovanni:Um, you know, all the extra, extra judicial killing of people who, they
Jovanni:didn't know who they were killing, they were just killing people.
Jovanni:Let them write.
Jovanni:And I thought that also was to amp the pressure on the government.
Jovanni:And not only the government, but not the government per se, but
Jovanni:the people around them, right.
Jovanni:To, like I said, do a palace coup and, and, uh, let the invaders in.
Jovanni:But yeah when all that fails, that's when they went for the, the Shock and awe.
Jovanni:And, you know, and did, did what happened on, on, on, on January 3rd
Jovanni:with the abduction of the president.
Jovanni:So
Leonardo:yeah.
Leonardo:I'm glad you mentioned those strikes, right?
Leonardo:Because I think there's been something like 45 air strikes
Leonardo:right now against these boats.
Leonardo:And like you said, we don't know who the victims are.
Leonardo:Uh, they've certainly, for, we know, we have no reason to believe that
Leonardo:they're actually drug traffickers.
Leonardo:Because there's been a couple of cases where we had survivors and they were sent
Leonardo:to Ecuador and Columbia, respectively, and then they were immediately
Leonardo:released by those authorities because they had no charges against them.
Leonardo:And then.
Leonardo:In terms of the escalation.
Leonardo:You know, I, I said that in December, my analysis changed the situation a
Leonardo:bit, and that was because the US in late November, the, the US Gerald Ford
Leonardo:arrived off the coast of Venezuela.
Leonardo:And then in December something happened, which is that the US
Leonardo:started blockading Venezuela and oil.
Leonardo:And so, you know, we had all these reports of, of ships being seized by the United
Leonardo:States or in the United States, you know, Navy chasing ships across the world.
Leonardo:I mean, I think the last one was caught a few weeks ago in the Indian Ocean, right?
Leonardo:And then there was a, you know, a so, so-called no fly zone that the Trump
Leonardo:administration attempted to impose.
Leonardo:And at that point it seemed clear to me that there was
Leonardo:gonna be an attack imminent.
Leonardo:And that's despite the fact that, Mato and Trump had held this telephone conversation
Leonardo:that had apparently gone well.
Leonardo:Uh, and there was this idea really floating around that
Leonardo:the negotiations were ongoing.
Leonardo:Um, mm-hmm.
Leonardo:And I know we'll talk about this a little bit later, but what's scares
Leonardo:me about what's happening in Cuba right now is that we're seeing the
Leonardo:same sort of thing happen, right?
Leonardo:The same sort of pattern develop where there's talk of negotiations where in
Leonardo:the media they're now saying that they.
Leonardo:That the Trump administration is insisting that President di resign
Leonardo:or or step aside somehow, and then that then negotiations can continue.
Leonardo:And the same thing happened with Venezuela.
Leonardo:There was the media reports floating around back in September about,
Leonardo:well, if Mato steps down, the US will lift sanctions and we'll
Leonardo:recognize the vice president.
Leonardo:And, you know, nobody was really thinking that was possibility
Leonardo:because why would he step down?
Leonardo:He's the president, he's elected.
Leonardo:Uh, but then that's what the United States kind of ended up doing.
Jovanni:What exactly are the charges against Maduro?
Leonardo:Yeah, that's a good question because you're right, they, they
Leonardo:dropped the most serious charge about the Cartel de los Soles because
Leonardo:it's a cartel that doesn't exist.
Leonardo:You know, just a, a little bit more background on that.
Leonardo:I went through, I think it was about 20 reports of this thing called the
Leonardo:National Drug Threat Assessment.
Leonardo:It's a yearly report put out with the, by the DEA, the Drug Enforcement Agency.
Leonardo:There was not a single reference that Cartel de Los
Leonardo:Soles in 20 years of reports.
Leonardo:And they have pages and pages about other cartels, uh, especially ones in Mexico.
Leonardo:Uh, on top of that, you know, the, the actual name Cartel De Los Soles comes from
Leonardo:a cia, a operation from the early 1990s.
Leonardo:Uh, there's this great segment on 60 Minutes called the CIA's Cocaine, and they
Leonardo:detail how the CIA was working with the Venezuelan National Guard at the time,
Leonardo:and they called it the Cartel of the Sun because the National Guard in Venezuela
Leonardo:at the time had a big patch of the sun on their uniforms, and they were trying
Leonardo:to allegedly infiltrate Pablo Escobar, the drug kingpin in Columbia, his cartel.
Leonardo:And to do that, they were importing drugs from Columbia, funneling it
Leonardo:through Venezuela and sending it to the United States, millions of dollars.
Leonardo:And so it's, to me, it's kind of ridiculous, uh, because at the
Leonardo:time Venezuela, was a transit country for cocaine for about
Leonardo:50% of the world's cocaine.
Leonardo:By the time Maduro was kidnapped Venezuela, it was a transit point
Leonardo:for about 5% of the world's cocaine.
Leonardo:Huge shift in policy by the Venezuelan government that's been really going
Leonardo:after drug trafficking hard and managed like a an incredible achievement,
Leonardo:I would say, especially in the midst of a hybrid war, is to really
Leonardo:cut down on cocaine trafficking.
Leonardo:And yet the US used that as a pretext anyway.
Leonardo:But going back to the charges now, the charges are conspiracy, which
Leonardo:is really su super nebulous and, and owning machine guns, which is a
Leonardo:totally absurd, so, yeah, you're right.
Leonardo:It's gonna be a show trial.
Leonardo:The actual charges don't even matter because it's, this is really about the
Leonardo:United States punishing an adversary.
Jovanni:Mm-hmm.
Jovanni:Yeah.
Jovanni:I, I remember when actually it was Chavez who kicked out the DEA
Jovanni:and once the DEA was sent home.
Jovanni:That's when you start seeing an an, an, an increase and decrease in, in, in,
Jovanni:in knock trafficking through Venezuela.
Jovanni:After that, I remember I was in the military I remember when, uh, when Chavez
Jovanni:was, had a, had a co, uh, when they had a co against Chavez, you know, too.
Jovanni:And then after that, I've been following Chavez ever since.
Jovanni:And I remember when they seized this after Chavez sent the DA home, that's
Jovanni:when they started doing a lot of raids in the Frontiers against Columbia.
Jovanni:I remember they seizing, uh, uh, a submarine.
Jovanni:It was a submarine, uh, that that, uh, off of the coast of, of Venezuela,
Jovanni:that full of also drugs on the way to the United States and whatnot or
Jovanni:whatever, wherever they was going.
Jovanni:But yeah, you know, you are, you know, you're right.
Jovanni:You know, after, after, they went, Venezuela went from 50% was being a
Jovanni:transit, was a transit country, right?
Jovanni:Of cocaine, 50% all the way down to 2%.
Jovanni:And not only that, uh, also Ecuador went, Ecuador also sent
Jovanni:the, the DEA, uh, home packing.
Jovanni:That's when their also their drug, their drug problem started decreasing as well.
Jovanni:I mean, so it's, there's a correlation here.
Jovanni:You know, you know.
Jovanni:So, so Go ahead, go, go ahead.
Jovanni:Uh, uh, Mon Monisha, jump in whenever you can.
Monisha:Thanks.
Monisha:Yeah.
Monisha:It's interesting too, because in 1999 ish maybe a little bit earlier in, in the
Monisha:nineties was when the narrative around.
Monisha:Like you had the whole drug war narrative going on since Plan
Monisha:Columbia, but in que where, um, the US had ated lands kicked people out.
Monisha:I'm, I can say and put this narrative of, of protectionism and all the
Monisha:other stuff to turn it basically into a, a floating military base.
Monisha:Um, doing all but real war practice exercises, et cetera, et cetera.
Monisha:And when the people succeeded in kicking the Navy out on, not completely, but
Monisha:mostly in like 2003 prior, just prior to that, they were running a narrative
Monisha:to get public support to install, um, a relocatable over the horizon.
Monisha:Radar system pointed at Venezuela, Columbia, like pointed at our, our
Monisha:neighbors for, to catch drug traffickers was the narrative that they were,
Monisha:that they were running in press and media and, and all that stuff.
Monisha:And yet in Puerto Rico the drug trade is monumental.
Monisha:Murders happened constantly.
Monisha:Like when I was living in que, there were massacres happening all the time.
Monisha:Innocent people were getting killed because of drug families that war
Monisha:with each other and all that stuff.
Monisha:And so to hear now that they're still running this.
Monisha:This War on drugs narrative all these years, it's like the same old
Monisha:playbook and people still fall for it.
Monisha:But what I'm curious about is how are you seeing the US justify its
Monisha:supposed jurisdiction over a sovereign state and a sovereign head of state.
Monisha:How are you seeing that play out in international media?
Monisha:I know the US is not a signatory to the international criminal court,
Monisha:which of course is speaks volumes on its own, but in terms of that, like
Monisha:narrative warfare specifically, how is the US in your analysis justifying,
Monisha:um, this thing that they're doing?
Leonardo:Yeah, that's a great question because the, the justification changed,
Leonardo:and I'll go into that a little bit, but the initial justification was,
Leonardo:as you said, narco terror, right?
Leonardo:Which is this kind of very nebulous term.
Leonardo:Uh, what does it really mean?
Leonardo:Uh, anything can now be narco terror.
Leonardo:I mean, is, you know, a couple of guys driving a car in South DCC with a pound
Leonardo:of marijuana, are they narco terrorists?
Leonardo:I mean, the United States government might say so, and they might shoot
Leonardo:them and it might kill them, and they've been doing that to black
Leonardo:people in this country for ages, right?
Leonardo:So it's a term that actually be began in Peru in the 1990s, if I'm not mistaken,
Leonardo:this nebulous term of narco terror.
Leonardo:Then it's spread kind of north from there.
Leonardo:So internationally, that's what the US has been using to, was using for,
Leonardo:at first to justify the attack on Venezuela or the aggression on Venezuela.
Leonardo:'cause this was prior to the attack, right?
Leonardo:I would say that, the US doesn't really care about sovereignty
Leonardo:other than its own sovereignty.
Leonardo:So those arguments tend to fall very flat with, uh, with us diplomats
Leonardo:because, you know, they know that, you know, their, their basic
Leonardo:philosophies might makes right.
Leonardo:And we're seeing that play out based on a daily basis with the Trump
Leonardo:administration, where they can seemingly justify any atrocity if they're
Leonardo:going after so-called terrorists.
Leonardo:And any atrocities, it's somehow pitched as self-defense.
Leonardo:In fact, uh, in the first press conference that Trump gave about the
Leonardo:attack on Venezuela, he framed it as self-defense, uh, which is totally absurd.
Leonardo:You know, Trump was saying that Venezuela was flooding the streets of the United
Leonardo:States with criminals and with cocaine.
Leonardo:Neither of those were true.
Leonardo:Uh, in fact, of the, uh, I think at the time in December there were some 3000 or
Leonardo:so Venezuelans who'd been deported from the United States back to Venezuela and
Leonardo:maybe two of them had criminal records.
Leonardo:So, you know, that criminalization of migrants which was another
Leonardo:justification became to was proven to be completely false.
Leonardo:Right?
Leonardo:But something very curious happened in about.
Leonardo:I wanna say a week to 10 days before January 3rd was that suddenly the
Leonardo:narrative shifted in the media and within the Trump administration, and they
Leonardo:stopped talking about narco terror and about drugs, and they started talking
Leonardo:about Iran and Hezbollah and Hamas.
Leonardo:And that coincided with the visit on late December, early January of
Leonardo:Benjamin and Yahu to the White House.
Leonardo:And then within days this attack happened.
Leonardo:So they totally kind of flipped the script to talk about Iran in the context of
Leonardo:Venezuela, which was really an extremist right wing talking point that's been
Leonardo:floating around for like the past 25 years almost, but has never really been taken
Leonardo:seriously by the policy establishment in Washington because they know that
Leonardo:although Iran and Venezuela have very deep ties in terms of economics and
Leonardo:politically, socially and those ties date back to the founding of opec the
Leonardo:oil producing exporting countries.
Leonardo:And but those ties, you know, even the military ties, you know, Venezuela
Leonardo:doesn't have any sort of military capacity to threaten the United States.
Leonardo:So they were kind of trying to cast Venezuela in the slight as supporting
Leonardo:these quote unquote terrorist regimes.
Leonardo:And that's when the attack happened.
Monisha:That makes total sense.
Monisha:And I think it's interesting too when you brought up the timing of
Monisha:the narrative shift around Venezuela, the attack on Venezuela and how that
Monisha:narrative shifted over toward Iran.
Monisha:And so the US likes to play a long game.
Monisha:And it has been playing a long game in Latin America, as we know, just
Monisha:as it's been playing a long game in I don't wanna say the Middle
Monisha:East 'cause that's a colonial term in the lavant in that region.
Monisha:And of course everything the US does centers on oil controlling
Monisha:resources, con controlling finite materials, raw materials, et cetera,
Monisha:controlling labor, et cetera.
Monisha:How interesting that the first step was to take this action against Venezuela
Monisha:attempt, essentially to control Venezuela's oil right before this attack
Monisha:on Iran, which is disrupting the transport of oil from the, those OPEC nations
Monisha:to the rest of the world essentially.
Monisha:So in my mind, I think about how convenient it would be for the US
Monisha:who wants to remain a superpower and have basically control of the
Monisha:world's market in all aspects.
Monisha:Try to take over the largest oil reserves in the world in Venezuela,
Monisha:just before disrupting the flow of, of exchange for oil across the world,
Monisha:on the other side of the world.
Monisha:I don't know, that's just something I find fishy.
Monisha:And especially with the false state of Israel's involvement
Monisha:in all of this as well.
Leonardo:Yeah, absolutely.
Leonardo:You know, I think part of it w well, this attack and then the subsequent attack
Leonardo:on Iran part of the attack on Venezuela was meant to stabilize oil prices in
Leonardo:anticipation of a prolonged war, uh, with Iran and, and maybe not even a
Leonardo:prolonged war, but anticipation of a war with Iran that would see oil prices
Leonardo:skyrocket as we're seeing right now.
Leonardo:And the thing about what's happening between the United States and Venezuela
Leonardo:it's the United States isn't controlling Venezuela's oil production right now, but
Leonardo:they are still, uh, they are controlling Venezuela's trade in oil, right?
Leonardo:And so all of Venezuela's oil trade, and this is starting to change because even
Leonardo:as of March 17th, the Trump administration is now saying that they're gonna start
Leonardo:lifting some sanctions on foreign oil companies so that they are, excuse
Leonardo:me, on Venezuela, so that foreign oil companies can do business with Venezuela.
Leonardo:But the US is still obviously blockading the country.
Leonardo:Uh, there's still a massive deployment of the Navy on off Venezuela shores,
Leonardo:and they're controlling the trade, and they're saying that Venezuela has
Leonardo:to trade through two US companies.
Leonardo:Uh, I'm blanking on their names right now, but one of those companies is a big
Leonardo:supporter of the Trump administration.
Leonardo:They've given money to his, to his political action committee.
Leonardo:Uh, the other company was flagged for corruption, corrupt practices.
Leonardo:So these are kind of really nasty actors that ve sorta has to deal with now.
Leonardo:So there is this control of oil, but.
Leonardo:The thing is that the United States had been waging economic warfare
Leonardo:on Venezuela until least 2015.
Leonardo:And then when Trump comes into office in 2017, he immediately starts oil sanctions.
Leonardo:And these sanctions got progressively worse until around August of 2019
Leonardo:when they imposed what the Wall Street Journal characterized as a
Leonardo:total economic embargo, Venezuela specifically of the Venezuelan government.
Leonardo:So in that interim, Venezuela's oil production cratered, right?
Leonardo:And, and their oil, Aruba news fell something like 99%.
Leonardo:This happened over a period of two or three years, and that led to
Leonardo:massive, a massive economic crisis.
Leonardo:It led to mass migration as well.
Leonardo:But Venezuela had been able to starting roughly in 2021 to overcome those
Leonardo:sanctions and to restart its oil supply.
Leonardo:So by November of last year, before the blockade of oil from the United States
Leonardo:on Venezuela, Venezuela was producing roughly one, 1.2 million barrels of oil.
Leonardo:It had had 18, 19 straight quarters of economic growth.
Leonardo:The sensation was that Minnesota had hit rock bottom economically, and that
Leonardo:they had found a way because they had found a way to overcome the sanctions.
Leonardo:And so now Trump comes in and blockades the oil and says, you can only
Leonardo:trade oil through these companies.
Leonardo:And the thing is, Venezuela right now isn't producing as much
Leonardo:oil as it was four months ago.
Leonardo:And so Trump is kind of scrambling because he's seeing this and is thinking,
Leonardo:wait, this is really backfiring.
Leonardo:Because the whole point of going after Venezuela first was to stabilize
Leonardo:the oil market, but now they're producing less than they were.
Leonardo:And so that's why we're seeing all these new stories about Trump considering
Leonardo:a more part like lifting of sanctions and offering kind of partial sanctions
Leonardo:of relief every two weeks or so.
Leonardo:And he frames it as, oh, it's because Desi what he calls president, the
Leonardo:acting president of Rodriguez, it's because Desi's so great and
Leonardo:we're working so closely together.
Leonardo:But no, it's because his policies failed and because Venezuela, which was supposed
Leonardo:to produce oil relief rapidly if the US came in, and that's not happening
Leonardo:because of the, still because of the US sanctions that are still in place.
Leonardo:In fact, there was a really weird, uh, meeting in DC within a week of the
Leonardo:attack on Venezuela, where Trump invited the heads of several transnational
Leonardo:oil companies and they had this big, uh, open press conference with them.
Leonardo:And he asked, well, what's holding you back from investing in Venezuela?
Leonardo:And one of the oil companies was very clear and they were
Leonardo:like, well, US sanctions are.
Leonardo:And so, you know, and so without these sanctions, Venezuela would
Leonardo:be producing a lot more oil.
Leonardo:And, and, you know, ironically the US would be better off
Leonardo:because the more oil market would even, would be even more stable.
Leonardo:Uh, and so the United States really finds itself with a problem here,
Leonardo:and that really kind of undercuts this argument that Venezuela has
Leonardo:become a colony of the United States in some way because it's clear that
Leonardo:it's the US policy against Venezuela.
Leonardo:It's economic warfare, which is harming not just Venezuela, but it's now beginning
Leonardo:to harm the United States as well.
Jovanni:So what was this, uh, hydrocarbon law that uh,
Jovanni:uh, that just passed recently?
Leonardo:Yeah, so Venezuela has a hydrocarbon law that they amended in
Leonardo:2006 that really kind of renationalized the oil industry, uh, and made it so
Leonardo:that Berea, which is the state owned oil company, had to have a majority
Leonardo:share in any sort of joint project.
Leonardo:Uh, but.
Leonardo:Because of this economic warfare, because of all these sanctions on the
Leonardo:oil industry that really destroyed the industry, Minnesota had to find a
Leonardo:way to, first of all, not just produce oil, but ship oil in ways that could
Leonardo:not be detected by the United States.
Leonardo:That is by evading these sanctions.
Leonardo:And so they passed an anti blockade law a few years back, and that was
Leonardo:really fundamental in helping, uh, Venezuela's economic recovery that I
Leonardo:spoke about a couple of minutes ago.
Leonardo:Right.
Leonardo:And now that we have this new kind of really tense relationship with the
Leonardo:United States where they're pretending to be friends of Venezuela, now
Leonardo:Venezuela understands that first of all.
Leonardo:Its capacity to act against these, this us aggression.
Leonardo:Aggression is very limited.
Leonardo:But on the, on, on the same, kind on the flip side of the coin is that Venezuela
Leonardo:really needs and wants investment in its oil Sector because it's been
Leonardo:underinvested not from any fault of the Venezuelans, but because of these economic
Leonardo:sanctions, the unilateral coercive measures imposed by the United States
Leonardo:against the Venezuelan oil industry.
Leonardo:So this new hydrocarbon law, what it does is that it eases some of the, it
Leonardo:basically gets better returns to oil companies, particularly what the ones
Leonardo:who invest in, what's what are known as what Venezuelans called green fields,
Leonardo:which are basically undeveloped oil fields that have known reserves in them.
Leonardo:And it's a way to attract investment and to boost production.
Leonardo:It's not gonna give kind of immediate benefits in the short term, but in
Leonardo:the medium and long term, it should boost production in Venezuela.
Leonardo:And there's been a lot of controversy about this law, mostly internationally
Leonardo:rather than in Venezuela, because internally, domestically, I
Leonardo:think there was an understanding that something had to be done.
Leonardo:And you can't be kind of dogmatic about some of these laws.
Leonardo:Yes, it was a, a key law that UL Chavez managed to pass in 2006, but if he were
Leonardo:still alive with us today, he was someone who was understood pragmatism, not as
Leonardo:an ideology, but as something that you employ depending on the conditions and
Leonardo:depending on the conjuncture, right?
Leonardo:And so he would see this conjuncture and say, look, the reality is that the
Leonardo:United States still is blocking us.
Leonardo:From obtaining the necessary investment that we need.
Leonardo:And if we adjust our laws, we can get some of that investment.
Leonardo:And, and, and that's ultimately gonna be a good thing for the
Leonardo:Venezuelan people as more oil money is set to flow into the country.
Jovanni:He's mentioned Chavez.
Jovanni:So basically, so my little came to power in 2014, and the United
Jovanni:States have never, never, uh, um, recognized his, uh, um, his presidency.
Jovanni:He's been elected three times, and the United States have always
Jovanni:contested all three elections.
Jovanni:And before that, um, they've always been slow to recognize Chavez,
Jovanni:uh, uh, electro victory as well.
Jovanni:Uh, when they were, when they had no other, you know, when everybody else
Jovanni:recognized, you know, they were like kind of the last ones to recognize, right.
Jovanni:Uh, but yet they were us is quick to hold on and, and recognize and
Jovanni:give credits to the, to all of the accusations of, of the Venice women.
Jovanni:Right.
Jovanni:You know, and recently, uh, I think, uh, yesterday or the day before yesterday
Jovanni:I think for the first time, uh, the Trump administration recognized,
Jovanni:uh, delsey's, uh, presidency, right?
Jovanni:Uh, what do you make it all this and how does this affect one thing?
Jovanni:How does it affect, how is this gonna affect cha and all these gains?
Jovanni:And where is the Washington backed opposition in all this.
Leonardo:Yeah, and let me just kind of backtrack a little bit just to give folks
Leonardo:a bit more context because I think it's kind of important, and there are some
Leonardo:really interesting parallels, right?
Leonardo:So Chavez, in 2002, he faced a coup that was backed by the US right?
Leonardo:And there were couple of main reasons why that happened.
Leonardo:There was a geopolitical reason and then there was oil, right?
Leonardo:So right before that, coup Chavez was trying to, rest control away of the
Leonardo:state owned oil company from these executives who basically belonged to the
Leonardo:Venezuelan oligarchy that had basically looted the company and kept all the
Leonardo:profits for themselves, and that he was trying to make it more state run.
Leonardo:Also at that time, after the attacks, uh, on September 11th, Chavez was
Leonardo:saying, you know, we shouldn't fight terror with terror warning the United
Leonardo:States that, you know, its actions in Afghanistan could backfire.
Leonardo:And I think maybe a couple of weeks after the US began, its war in Afghanistan.
Leonardo:Chavez was on TV showing pictures of some of the dead children that were
Leonardo:killed in Afghanistan from US bombs.
Leonardo:And so this really put Chavez kind of in the crosshairs of the, of Washington, and
Leonardo:that led to the coup against him in 2002.
Leonardo:Then Maduro gets into office after Chavez passes away in 2013.
Leonardo:He is, as you said, he won the, the elections.
Leonardo:And Washington didn't, not only fail to recognize him, but then they absurdly
Leonardo:claimed at one point that, oh, we don't recognize elections in other
Leonardo:countries, which is total, which is a joke because they do that all the time.
Leonardo:Right.
Leonardo:But this failure to recognize Malto, the immediate aftermath was that there
Leonardo:was political violence in Venezuela.
Leonardo:About a dozen people died in the aftermath of those elections, and that hadn't really
Leonardo:happened in the country in a long time.
Leonardo:That sort of political violence.
Leonardo:After that, there's a two color, CI, a backed color revolution
Leonardo:attempts in Venezuela 20 14 20 17.
Leonardo:In 2018, there was a, an attempted assassination attempt on, on
Leonardo:malu by drones leading with C 4 20 19 was the whole gudo thing.
Leonardo:2020 was the mercenary attempted invasion, uh, when you, when Huang Gudo contracted
Leonardo:some US-based mercenaries to invade the country and killed Avita leaders, but
Leonardo:they were captured almost immediately.
Leonardo:So it's been kind of, and I just mentioned all this because to show that it hasn't
Leonardo:been, you know, it wasn't just the attack on January 3rd, this is something
Leonardo:that's going back 25 years, right?
Leonardo:These attacks on Venezuela, the US attempts to control Venezuela to
Leonardo:enforce regime change in Venezuela.
Leonardo:And now going to Del Rodriguez, her being recognized by the Trump administration,
Leonardo:and they've done it in several ways.
Leonardo:You know, the, the Trump himself had said it, the State Department said it and now
Leonardo:the US courts are saying that hers is the, the legitimate government of Venezuela.
Leonardo:It's really important for many reasons.
Leonardo:One, it allows Venezuela to defend itself in US courts, whereas before
Leonardo:the people representing Venezuela were the fascists basically.
Leonardo:Uh, and this has been the case since 2019, and Venezuela has a lot of
Leonardo:pending court cases because one of the effects of the economic war was
Leonardo:that Venezuela couldn't pay back.
Leonardo:Its.
Leonardo:Debts because it wasn't allowed to take on new debts or to refinance
Leonardo:those debts or renegotiate those terms.
Leonardo:And so you have a lot of creditors going after Venezuela assets in the
Leonardo:United States, like for example, Citgo, which belongs to Venezuela
Leonardo:and maybe soon lost depending on how the court system plays out.
Leonardo:So this recognition of debt Rodriguez is incredibly important.
Leonardo:And there's also, um, the establishment of embassies again,
Leonardo:uh, for the first time since 2019.
Leonardo:And that's really gonna help from my perspective, I think, I think it's
Leonardo:fantastic because it's really gonna help a lot of the Venezuelans who find themselves
Leonardo:in ICE detention because these are people who don't have consular access because
Leonardo:Venezuela does not have a consulate in the US and it's gonna open soon.
Leonardo:And that's gonna really provide a lot of relief, I think, for families.
Leonardo:And it's gonna l lead to family re reunifications of people
Leonardo:who were separated by ice.
Leonardo:So I think what we're seeing now is a very positive sign from a ben sort perspective
Leonardo:of this reestablishment of relations.
Leonardo:And on the flip side of that, we know what that means, right?
Leonardo:It means that the CCIA is gonna be operating directly in AKAs again.
Leonardo:And that's, I think that's something that the Venezuelans can live with because
Leonardo:they've been able to, for the most part overcome all of these CIA operations with
Leonardo:the very notable exception of January 3rd.
Jovanni:Yes.
Jovanni:Yeah.
Jovanni:Where are these, uh, these, uh, um, what's his name?
Jovanni:Um, the Opposition Madrid.
Jovanni:And, and where are they at now?
Jovanni:You know, this, uh, um, what's his name?
Jovanni:Uh, uh, Leo Pado
Leonardo:Leopoldo Lopez.
Jovanni:Ldo Lopez, uh, Karina Machado.
Jovanni:Where are these people at now?
Leonardo:Yeah, that's a really important point because one of the things that the
Leonardo:Trump administration realized, or like in the day, the same, basically the same
Leonardo:day of January 3rd when nothing happened in Venezuela internally in terms of no
Leonardo:coup, no civil war, was that Maria Corina Malo, who is like basically anointed as
Leonardo:the new opposition leader in Venezuela, was that she has no power in the country.
Leonardo:And Trump himself said she has no respect in the country.
Leonardo:And so she's been really completely sidelined, you know, uh, it,
Leonardo:it became really embarrassing.
Leonardo:And beca, she became the butt of jokes in Venezuela because, uh, this is
Leonardo:woman who won the Nobel Peace Prize despite calling for sanctions against
Leonardo:Venezuela, calling for an invasion of Venezuela, not saying a single thing
Leonardo:when those boats were being attacked.
Leonardo:Not saying a single thing when Venezuela was bombed, other than
Leonardo:to praise the Trump administration.
Leonardo:So this basically, this Warmonger got the Nobel Peace Prize, and then
Leonardo:she went to Washington and gave it to her master, which is Donald Trump.
Leonardo:With the hopes that, oh, well, then that's gonna change his mind and he's gonna start
Leonardo:pushing from Maria Equity Andina Mattel to return to Venezuela so she can take power.
Leonardo:And, and the thing is, that's not happening.
Leonardo:And, and if anything, what we've learned is that the Trump administration
Leonardo:doesn't want Maria equity and Macello back in Venezuela because that's would
Leonardo:possibly upset the oil trade between Venezuela and the United States.
Leonardo:So he wants to keep her out of the country.
Leonardo:She's, right now, I think she was just in Chile for the inauguration of their
Leonardo:new president caste, uh, Lopez State is in, in Madrid, as far as I know.
Leonardo:Uh, you know, they're still conspiring against Venezuela,
Leonardo:but they've been very sidelined.
Leonardo:And now we're seeing kind of new leadership within Venezuela's
Leonardo:moderate, more moderate opposition.
Leonardo:And I say moderate, not in the sense that, you know, a lot of these people
Leonardo:are neoliberals and are neocons, and we wouldn't really call them
Leonardo:moderate in any other context, but they're moderate because they're okay
Leonardo:with engaging in dialogue with the Venezuelan government, and they don't
Leonardo:want a war in Venezuela, a civil war.
Leonardo:And that makes them moderate.
Leonardo:And so these people have now kind of found, a new, new wind, right, in
Leonardo:the sense that like they're, they, they have seen that the Venezuelan
Leonardo:fascists who have enjoyed not just the political support in the United
Leonardo:States for the past 27 years, but their logistical and financial support.
Leonardo:You know, almost to the exclusion of all of those moderates, you
Leonardo:know, the N-E-D-U-S-A-I-D, they fund Maria Corina, malos, NGO, sum, they
Leonardo:fund Delio de Lopez for many years.
Leonardo:And now these people, the were moderate opposition in Venezuela
Leonardo:is finding that they have more, much more space to operate.
Leonardo:Uh, in fact, Venezuela just passed this, um.
Leonardo:The National Assembly and the President approved it.
Leonardo:This amnesty law, which goes back to the 2002 coup and which, you know,
Leonardo:really contemplates amnesty for a lot of kind of political crimes.
Leonardo:One of the things that it does not contemplate am amnesty for is for
Leonardo:the people who either backed or supported or called for, uh, an
Leonardo:invasion of the United States, the sanctions, economic warfare or coup.
Leonardo:And so basically that includes Maria Lopez and a lot of their operators, but some of
Leonardo:the more kind of other people in Venezuela who may have taken part in some of the
Leonardo:political violence of the past 20 years.
Leonardo:Now they're being, you know, released from prison.
Leonardo:And there's really in Venezuela, this new spirit of reconciliation,
Leonardo:uh, because one of the things that January 3rd attack did was unite the
Leonardo:country in a really interesting way that people who hate Cha Ismo, who hate
Leonardo:Mato, were like, no, this is insane.
Leonardo:We don't want our country bonds.
Leonardo:We understand what happens when us bomb fall.
Leonardo:This is not what we want.
Leonardo:We want a different path.
Leonardo:And so the government of De Rodriguez, and really, uh, this is really following
Leonardo:Maduro because in the, in the weeks before Maduro was kidnapped, he was,
Leonardo:he had also given amnesty, uh, to move out, I think it was a hundred or
Leonardo:so people who he released from jail.
Leonardo:And so this new spirit of reconciliation has taken over in Venezuela, and I
Leonardo:think there's a really interesting project and peace building going
Leonardo:on internally in the country.
Jovanni:Yeah, indeed.
Jovanni:I was always taken aback from, with this happening, uh, the
Jovanni:ice raids and all that, right?
Jovanni:And this, um, anybody was celebrating you know, when, you know, bad Bunny,
Jovanni:I'm going, I'm going into the culture pop, you know, pop culture now.
Jovanni:Bad Bunny getting these, um, these awards at the, uh, the
Jovanni:Grammys, I believe they were.
Jovanni:And then the, uh, halftime show, you know, and then it was whole.
Jovanni:There was this, there was this, uh, euphoria about Latin American unity
Jovanni:and, and I think he started the, uh, um, the, uh, halftime show with, uh,
Jovanni:with a guy in front and dressed like a hiva saying that, you know, Qaim Latino.
Jovanni:And I was pretty much like an front toward this anti-Latino
Jovanni:policies here in the United States.
Jovanni:And there's ice rates and stuff like that.
Jovanni:Yeah.
Jovanni:Everybody been silenced about what's happening in Cuba right now, trying
Jovanni:to strangle Cuba to submission and what happened in Venezuela with
Jovanni:the, uh, uh, also Latinos here?
Jovanni:What's happening, what happened in Venezuela and January 3rd?
Jovanni:Uh, in fact actually I went to bed.
Jovanni:Uh, that day on January 3rd you know, that morning, uh, uh,
Jovanni:seeing that raid happening, right?
Jovanni:You know, people were, uh, uh, posting videos on, on Telegram about the bombing
Jovanni:in Venezuela and stuff like that.
Jovanni:And, uh, uh, the next morning I see all these texts, all these,
Jovanni:uh, uh, on my social media, all these people celebrating, you
Jovanni:know, the Venit celebrating.
Jovanni:And some of my friends, my social media friends, you know, most of 'em were, you
Jovanni:know, Puerto Ricans and stuff like that, or Dominicans, and when not, you know,
Jovanni:uh, celebrating with them, you know, saying, you know, uh, posting stuff,
Jovanni:congratulations to Venezuelan brothers and sisters, blah, blah, this and that, blah.
Jovanni:You know, so this and that.
Jovanni:And at the same time I was seeing, you know, when I started going through
Jovanni:other people I follow, I started seeing this huge mobilization of Venezuelans
Jovanni:in Venezuela coming out in droves and thousands hundred thousands talking
Jovanni:about we want our president back.
Jovanni:You know?
Jovanni:So there was like two different Venezuelans that we're seeing here.
Jovanni:You know, there's the ones in the diaspora, the one in Madrid,
Jovanni:the one in our, in South Florida, and the ones in Argentina.
Jovanni:And then, uh, um, the ones, uh, um, there, can you talk a little bit about that?
Leonardo:Yeah, I think that speaks a little bit to the polarization
Leonardo:of Venezuela, and honestly, it's been really difficult.
Leonardo:It's really difficult to talk to a Venezuela in the United States.
Leonardo:As me, as of also a Venezuelan, because I understand that a lot of these people,
Leonardo:especially the ones who migrated, uh, say before 2020 ish are, come from
Leonardo:Venezuela's rich families upper middle class, higher, uh, they tend to be whiter.
Leonardo:They tend to have a lot more money than the average Venezuela.
Leonardo:And they have been basically co-opted or, you know, not even
Leonardo:co-opt necessarily, because some of 'em are just outright fascists.
Leonardo:And, and they have really contributed to this demonization of Venezuela
Leonardo:because they're the ones saying, oh, there's no democracy in Venezuela.
Leonardo:Oh, there's violations of human rights.
Leonardo:Oh, the Mado government isn't doing anything right.
Leonardo:But then when you analyze it, it's like, oh wait, that's not the case at all.
Leonardo:In fact, the biggest threat to Venezuela and the biggest violation
Leonardo:of human rights in Venezuela isn't caused by the Venezuela government.
Leonardo:It's caused by the US economic warfare against Venezuela that is crippling
Leonardo:the nation's health healthcare system.
Leonardo:It's social safety net, its education system, and so on.
Leonardo:And so then when, more Venezuelas, the kind of the, the working class
Leonardo:started coming to the US in 2021, it was kind of an interesting dynamic
Leonardo:because they had first moved to other countries in Latin America.
Leonardo:They made some money, they came back to Venezuela, and then they took on the
Leonardo:trek to the United States, which is.
Leonardo:You know, if you go buy land, they think people might have no
Leonardo:idea how expensive it is, right?
Leonardo:We're talking $10,000 minimum to travel from Venezuela to
Leonardo:the United States by land.
Leonardo:It costs a lot of money that you have to pay off a lot of, uh, organized
Leonardo:crime syndicates that smuggle you through various countries that
Leonardo:smuggle you through the dairy and gap.
Leonardo:And the Venezuelan far right seemed to be making money off this.
Leonardo:And not only that, when the, they, they arrived in Venezuela, it was
Leonardo:the far right that started this criminalization of Venezuelan migrants.
Leonardo:Uh, and so it, it's really kind of sad how the Venezuelan diaspora has
Leonardo:been acting towards not just their, the country, but towards their, their
Leonardo:fellow countrymen and women demonizing them and causing a lot of chaos.
Leonardo:And so, yeah, I, I understand that they were happy, uh, on January 3rd,
Leonardo:because that's what they've been working towards, is to, destroy the
Leonardo:b wiring revolution in some way.
Leonardo:But they're not that happy now.
Leonardo:And, you know, we don't see them cheering now, and that's because they
Leonardo:understand that there was no co in Venezuela, that their own leaders have
Leonardo:been totally sidelined and that they don't have as much influence within the
Leonardo:United States as they thought they did.
Monisha:Just wanna jump in and do a quick time check.
Monisha:I know Jovanni has to leave.
Monisha:um, Leonardo, how much time do you have left?
Monisha:Do you wanna continue?
Monisha:Do you wanna close now?
Leonardo:I mean, however long y'all need.
Leonardo:I'm flex in terms of time.
Monisha:Okay.
Leonardo:I know you wanted to talk about the international stuff that we haven't
Leonardo:really gotten to, like the more la Latin American, Caribbean in general stuff.
Monisha:Jovanni, is there anything specific that you want asked in that here?
Jovanni:yeah.
Jovanni:Um, can you say a little bit about this whole shield the Americas?
Jovanni:they just talked about now they shield the Americas also.
Jovanni:Do you perceive that as a Condor 2.0?
Jovanni:Plant Condor 2.0 and for people to know what plant condor was back in
Jovanni:the seventies and eighties, where ci pretty much, um, and organized
Jovanni:the most brutal dictators were, you know, in Latin America, pretty much
Jovanni:to pursue left, uh, um, organizers and, uh, um, left leaders and whatnot,
Jovanni:trade leaders and stuff like that.
Jovanni:And it just, you know, just as cleans them out, you know.
Jovanni:Uh, so do you foresee this to be a, uh, uh, a type of blank cord of 2.0 and
Jovanni:also, uh, do you have any information of this ISEC Accord with, uh, with
Jovanni:Israel that they're talking about just like the, uh, the Abraham Accord.
Leonardo:Yeah.
Leonardo:In terms of the shield of the Americas, I think you're absolutely
Leonardo:right that it is looking like it's gonna be a planned Condor 2.0.
Leonardo:They're framing it again in terms of drug trafficking, in terms of narco
Leonardo:terrorism and, and in terms of security.
Leonardo:But I think what we're gonna see is, basically campesinos being bombed, being,
Leonardo:having their crops fumigated in order to be dis displaced from their lands.
Leonardo:For US corporations, and really this is kind of the culmination of.
Leonardo:I would say maybe the last 12, 13 years with US foreign policy, between, you
Leonardo:know, when the pink tide came into power 1999, uh, through what, let's say
Leonardo:2013, uh, the pink tide was in power.
Leonardo:This, the pink tide referring to leftist and progressive governments that
Leonardo:were in power in many, many countries in Latin America and the Caribbean.
Leonardo:Uh, there was an interesting dynamic going on was that the entire region, uh, was
Leonardo:pushing towards more regional integration.
Leonardo:And we saw, um, multilateral organizations like select the community of Latin,
Leonardo:Latin American and Caribbean states UN asu, the Union of South American
Leonardo:Nations America Sewer, the common market of the South was strengthened.
Leonardo:Uh, we saw Petro Carve, which is this Venezuelan Cuban program aimed
Leonardo:at helping people in the Caribbean overcome, uh, high energy prices.
Leonardo:And that was really drawing the region together.
Leonardo:And then the United States, you know, the Bush administration didn't really
Leonardo:pay too much attention to Latin America.
Leonardo:I mean, they did some really nasty things and at times, including the
Leonardo:attempted COVID Chavez, but mostly their focus was in West Asia.
Leonardo:Uh, the Obama administration in the first term, same thing.
Leonardo:But in the second term, they really started focusing on Latin America and
Leonardo:the Caribbean and trying to divide the two the region into kind of who's friends
Leonardo:with the United States and who isn't.
Leonardo:And now we're seeing those plans kind of culminate because that's
Leonardo:the shield of the Americas.
Leonardo:It was basically the governments that are very much aligned with Trump and.
Leonardo:Like this, the fascists in Latin American and the Caribbean
Leonardo:are very closely connected to Trumpism in the United States.
Leonardo:And that's a phenomenon that we've been seeing for the last nine years
Leonardo:that keeps getting deeper and deeper.
Leonardo:And so it was those countries that, that attended this shield
Leonardo:of the Americas, but there's been no counterbalance on the left.
Leonardo:Yes, we have Guba, we have Nicaragua, we have Venezuela, but uh, the other kind
Leonardo:of big countries, Mexico maybe being the exception, uh, but even Columbia and
Leonardo:Brazil, they are, haven't really taken a stance, challenge the United States
Leonardo:in of particularly significant ways.
Leonardo:And we're seeing that with Cuba, right?
Leonardo:Cuba right now is being starved of oil.
Leonardo:Its people are really, um, suffering.
Leonardo:And Brazil hasn't done much of anything.
Leonardo:Columbia hasn't done much of anything.
Leonardo:And so there's no longer that left Unity that used to exist in
Leonardo:Latin America maybe 15 years ago.
Leonardo:And at one point that Unity was almost bipartisan because some of the creators
Leonardo:of these institutions, these multilateral institutions that I mentioned were
Leonardo:from right-wing governments that wanted better regional integration
Leonardo:for kind of market reasons, right?
Leonardo:Uh, but the United States really put an a, a, an end to that and has really
Leonardo:kind of caused a schism in Latin America between those who totally follow Trump
Leonardo:and, and his point of view, and those who have a different point of view.
Leonardo:And unfortunately, some of the bigger players in Latin America
Leonardo:have been either silenced or bought out by the Trump administration.
Monisha:Thank you for that.
Monisha:So this is gonna be edited and thank you Henri, for editing this
Monisha:out and editing out my awkwardness.
Monisha:What do you think that means?
Monisha:What's the end goal?
Monisha:Of this meddling in our region?
Leonardo:Yeah, I mean, I think Trump has laid it out pretty clearly, both in
Leonardo:kind of the national security strategy and his so-called Don Rowe doctrine.
Leonardo:Right?
Leonardo:Which is that he really wants to, for the United States to be the main player.
Leonardo:In this entire hemisphere.
Leonardo:And that to the Trump administration means not only sidelining Russia and China and
Leonardo:Iran to the greatest extent possible.
Leonardo:And really it's mostly about China because Russia and Iran don't have
Leonardo:too much influence in Latin America.
Leonardo:But it also means that controlling resources throughout
Leonardo:the hemisphere, uh, for us corporations, and that is really key.
Leonardo:Uh, and, and you know, when we look at the, the Monroe Doctrine and we
Leonardo:have to understand it as the tool of imperialism that's seeking to
Leonardo:subjugate the entire hemisphere.
Leonardo:And one of the main ways Subjugates is through this division that I
Leonardo:was just talking about, right?
Leonardo:And so Latin America and the Caribbean have to find a way
Leonardo:to buy, come closer together.
Leonardo:Uh, you know, it was in 2014 that the select the community of Latin American and
Leonardo:Caribbean nations declared the Caribbean and Latin America to be a zone of peace.
Leonardo:Meaning they didn't want warfare, they didn't want, they wanted all
Leonardo:kind of political disagreements to be resolved through dialogue.
Leonardo:And that was really a, a, a kind of a groundbreaking document to have this
Leonardo:entire, you know, almost an entire hemisphere be united and wanting peace
Leonardo:and then wanting no foreign interference.
Leonardo:And the United States at first was like.
Leonardo:Playing nice with that.
Leonardo:And they were like, oh, they didn't sign on.
Leonardo:Of course, and I don't, I'm not sure they were even invited
Leonardo:to, but they accepted it.
Leonardo:But meanwhile they were working behind the scenes to undercut that.
Leonardo:You know, I think what we're seeing is as the United States finds itself
Leonardo:obviously still very much involved in, in, in West Asia as we're seeing with
Leonardo:this war on Iran, but in a different way.
Leonardo:They, they're kind of trying to limit the losses of American Empire, particularly
Leonardo:when it comes to Chinese economic power.
Leonardo:And one of the ways that they see of being able to limit those losses is
Leonardo:to control what they perceive to be their quote unquote backyard, right?
Leonardo:Which is the rest of the Western hemisphere.
Leonardo:And, and so I think that's the end game, is to ensure that they're
Leonardo:the ones who have total control in Latin America and the Caribbean.
Leonardo:I don't know that that vision is gonna go is gonna survive the Trump administration.
Leonardo:I'm not sure who, if whoever's next is gonna really push that forward.
Leonardo:Uh, because we're seeing a really interesting divide in foreign policy
Leonardo:now between some Democrats and the Republicans, where, where usually they,
Leonardo:they work in lockstep, especially when it comes to Latin American and the Caribbean.
Leonardo:Uh, now, you know, I'm kind of heartened because there's this there's this
Leonardo:thing called the new Good Neighbor policy that's being pushed by some
Leonardo:progressive Democrats, and it really calls on the United States to engage
Leonardo:in relations with its neighbors based on mutual understanding, dialogue
Leonardo:and respect, and basically the fundamentals of international law.
Leonardo:And this is like a, an idea that has a lot of precedent, right?
Leonardo:Because even when the Roh doctrine was first introduced 200 years
Leonardo:ago, there was a lot of active resistance to that idea in Congress.
Leonardo:There were a lot of people who wanted, you know, not us domination of the
Leonardo:entire region, but more regional integration and friendly relations.
Leonardo:And so.
Leonardo:My message really is like, you know, we can't lose hope in the face of
Leonardo:this onslaught by the United States, uh, not just in West Asia, but in
Leonardo:Latin America and the Caribbean.
Leonardo:And we have to understand that not only is there resistance going on throughout
Leonardo:the global south to the United States, but there's resistance right here at home.
Leonardo:And that the more we draw those connections between what imperialism means
Leonardo:to the rest of the global south and what that same sort of militarism means to
Leonardo:our communities right here at home, and how that trillion dollar Pentagon budget
Leonardo:affects us every single day, whether it's through bad education, why that's
Leonardo:undrinkable or, you know, poor housing.
Leonardo:Those are things that we could have, we could have dignified housing for
Leonardo:everyone if the depend island budget was cut, even just a little bit.
Leonardo:And so drawing that connection is, to me, one of the fundamental
Leonardo:roles I have as a peace activist.
Leonardo:Uh, and to really in like open people's eyes to the fact that US
Leonardo:imperialism isn't just about killing black and brown people overseas.
Leonardo:It's killing black and brown people right here at home.
Leonardo:And the poor working white working class as well,
Monisha:I'm waiting for these fighter jets to stop doing what they're doing.
Monisha:They're just landing.
Leonardo:Wow.
Leonardo:Is that every day?
Monisha:It's, it was every day.
Monisha:Constantly throughout the day and into the night and in the wee hours of the morning.
Monisha:And then.
Monisha:What's interesting is like the days and weeks leading up to the attack on
Monisha:Venezuela, the amount of F 30 fives coming and going was astronomical.
Monisha:It was constant.
Monisha:This I see the flight line from my bedroom window.
Monisha:I cannot escape this noise or how it vibrates the house.
Monisha:I've said this a couple of times on the podcast already.
Monisha:People are probably sick of me complaining, but it's like this
Monisha:constantly, and it died down two days before the attack.
Monisha:Like they moved assets to different locations, but immediately
Monisha:after the attack, so many of them were returning here.
Monisha:So I was hearing them come back from doing that.
Monisha:And now like you mentioned before, being concerned about Cuba the way
Monisha:that movement of aircraft now has escalated in the last couple of days,
Monisha:subsequent to what you mentioned earlier about the US and Cuba having talks
Monisha:and how, like the pattern goes with this now I'm also very concerned that.
Monisha:This heightened movement of aircraft.
Monisha:Now I'm seeing more osprey coming and going like, like it used to be in the
Monisha:beginning, before the attack on Venezuela.
Monisha:More, definitely more F 30 fives, f sixteens, attack helicopters.
Monisha:Seeing that movement, again, coinciding with this, what's happening in the
Monisha:geopolitical narrative sphere makes me very nervous that the, and especially
Monisha:with the now, um, Cuba being completely blacked out, that's rather convenient.
Leonardo:Yeah, that's really scary.
Leonardo:Yeah.
Monisha:Yeah, exactly.
Monisha:And, you know, talking about having hope right now, I know
Monisha:that's hard for a lot of people.
Monisha:How do we hold onto to that hope?
Monisha:Like you're mentioning resistance and, and a lot of these things
Monisha:that are visible to a lot of us.
Monisha:How can we keep that momentum going and in your perspective where do you see
Monisha:points of resistance being possible?
Monisha:Because here in Puerto Rico, I'll sideline with a story real quick.
Monisha:There have been protests consistently led by mothers against the war, Madres Ra.
Monisha:And also other groups, um, here in PR attended, like the numbers in
Monisha:each protest are, are shrinking, unfortunately, but we're not stopping.
Monisha:The protests happen in front of each base, so there are protests here regularly.
Monisha:I believe there's one coming up this month.
Monisha:And we're doing our best to speak out against this as Puerto Ricans
Monisha:and to demand that our government, which is a Trump government, Trump
Monisha:supporting government unfortunately.
Monisha:Where do you see those points of resistance kind of expanding and
Monisha:growing and getting stronger or keeping it peaceful resistance?
Monisha:And then I guess this is a two part question, and that's my dog.
Monisha:He wants to go to bed, but the role of Puerto Rico in all of this too as
Monisha:a colony, as basically a reactivated military base, that these attacks
Monisha:are primarily being launched from.
Monisha:Being that we are a colony.
Monisha:Is there a sense of.
Monisha:Connection, uh, within the peace activist world.
Monisha:I'm no longer a part of it really.
Monisha:But like, are people connecting the dots to the colonization of Puerto Rico and
Monisha:the military readiness of the US to do all of this that it's doing in our region?
Leonardo:Yeah, I'll start with that second question first.
Leonardo:I think people are connecting the dots, there's, you know, I'm a peace
Leonardo:activist and there's a couple of partner organizations that have been
Leonardo:really, really active, particularly in the, in the last six months.
Leonardo:Uh, I'll give a shout out to one that the Aspo Ante collective, uh, which is
Leonardo:kind of a nationwide, where Puerto Rican folks from, from all over the country
Leonardo:that are, who have been very active and anter imperialists, and they are bringing
Leonardo:Puerto Rico into the conversation a lot.
Leonardo:The thing is that it's really hard to bring any country into the conversation
Leonardo:when the Trump administration just moves so quickly from topic to topic, right.
Leonardo:And when our own attention span shifts so quickly.
Leonardo:You know, immediately after January 3rd, the focus was all on Venezuela.
Leonardo:And we had statements from organizations that like, had never
Leonardo:really talked about Venezuela before.
Leonardo:I'm thinking, move on, put out a good statement.
Leonardo:The A-F-L-C-I-O put out a good statement, and then what happened
Leonardo:about a week and a half later, Rachel, Nicole Good was killed in Minnesota.
Leonardo:Alex Preddy was killed in Minnesota and everything exploded with ice.
Leonardo:So Venezuela was immediately this topic shifted.
Leonardo:Then a couple weeks after that it was all Greenland, and then it
Leonardo:was Cuba, and then it was Iran, and now it's Cuba again and Iran.
Leonardo:And so, you know, with the Trump administration kind of pushing
Leonardo:forward because they understand that they have to like, they have to
Leonardo:do something almost every week to.
Leonardo:Serve as kind of a pressure valve because the Trump administration is
Leonardo:under immense pressure, particularly from the Epstein files, but, uh,
Leonardo:for many, many reasons, right?
Leonardo:Uh, and so that makes it difficult to keep any one country or any, or,
Leonardo:or Puerto Rico in the conversation.
Leonardo:But certainly those of us, especially those who do Latin American solidarity,
Leonardo:are always very quick to talk about Puerto Rico because it is a colony
Leonardo:and, and it's colony that the many people in the United States don't
Leonardo:even realize it's a colony, right?
Leonardo:And they don't really even know what to think about Puerto Rico.
Leonardo:Uh, and so keeping that alive, keeping that discussion alive is really key.
Leonardo:And especially drawing that connection you made, right?
Leonardo:The Puerto Rico as a military base from which it's may be
Leonardo:attacking other countries.
Leonardo:And now that we've seen the United States attack South America, south American
Leonardo:country for the first time ever, uh, you know, might it be, see we've seen more of
Leonardo:that in the future, particularly if this so-called Shield of the Americas becomes
Leonardo:ki becomes kind of a, of a drone war for Latin America and the Caribbean or the
Leonardo:drones gonna be leaving Port Puerto Rico.
Leonardo:So absolutely that, that's kind of a key state, a key issue that
Leonardo:we have to continually bring up.
Leonardo:Uh, I don't know that it's in the forefront of most peace activist
Leonardo:minds because everything of everything else that's going on, but it's
Leonardo:certainly at the forefront of Latin America, solidarity, activists minds,
Leonardo:which I consider myself as well.
Leonardo:And then in terms of hope, you know, I think one of the things
Leonardo:that does give me hope is this kind of the total reaction to the.
Leonardo:The abuses of ICE and the human rights violations by ice, because that's, we've
Leonardo:seen nationwide protests against ice.
Leonardo:We see people organizing at a very community level with, you know, ICE
Leonardo:Watch and, and, and, and so forth.
Leonardo:And so I think that gives me a lot of hope because in terms of vice specifically,
Leonardo:I think it's really, really easy to draw the connections between US imperialism
Leonardo:and what's happening here at home, because ICE is really just a force to
Leonardo:crack down on the migrantes that the US is causing to come here in the first
Leonardo:place, uh, in, in certain respects.
Leonardo:And, and, there are other things that can be hope.
Leonardo:Right now.
Leonardo:I, I think the peace movement is taking a lot of flack because we haven't seen
Leonardo:lots of people on the streets protesting against the war in Iran, uh, because
Leonardo:the protests have been really small.
Leonardo:But then when we look at the polls, we see that this is really maybe the
Leonardo:most unpopular war ever, uh, especially for a war that has just begun.
Leonardo:Uh, and so I think that speaks to the fact that the, the United people of the United
Leonardo:States are sick of these endless wars.
Leonardo:And really that's one of the things that Trump was campaigned on, right?
Leonardo:Is ending these endless wars and his people bought it, his, you know,
Leonardo:his supporters bought it, and now we're seeing his own movement kind
Leonardo:of start to break apart a little bit, especially around the edges.
Leonardo:And you have high profile people like, uh, I don't know, Laura Ingraham
Leonardo:and took Carlson really questioning the US War in Iran, especially the
Leonardo:atrocity committed on the very first day when the US bombed a school, right?
Leonardo:A girls school.
Leonardo:And then, so I think.
Leonardo:That sort of discourse, that sort of narrative is going to become more
Leonardo:prevalent as we get closer to the midterm elections in this country.
Leonardo:And I'm not one that puts a lot of faith in the electoral system in
Leonardo:this country, but it's what we have and, and it's one of the ways we
Leonardo:have to express our displeasure.
Leonardo:And so I think that we're gonna see a lot of protests too this summer.
Leonardo:I think this summer is gonna be as filled with protests as the Black Lives Summer
Leonardo:from black Lives Matter protests of 2021.
Leonardo:And particularly because also because rather we have the, the World Cup
Leonardo:being held in the United States and I'm part of a coalition and Code Pink
Leonardo:is part of a coalition that's calling for a boycott of the World Cup and
Leonardo:calling for protests at the World Cup.
Leonardo:And I think we're gonna see a lot of that.
Leonardo:And on top of that, you have this other kind of whole movement
Leonardo:called the No Kings Movement, which really is an international,
Leonardo:I mean, in the sense that like they don't really talk about war much.
Leonardo:And at some times, at some point, you know, when the Peace
Leonardo:movement has tried to kind of.
Leonardo:In, inject itself into the No Kings scenario.
Leonardo:Sometimes they get rebuffed and other times they're very welcome.
Leonardo:But I think because the war in Iran is so popular that they're gonna have to
Leonardo:expand what they're talking about to not just be no Kings, but also no empire.
Leonardo:And I think that moving that conversation forward, it's gonna be a really key
Leonardo:for the peace movement as a whole.
Leonardo:and, you know, hope, like you said, it is hard to come by in the United
Leonardo:States, but there's just been so much grassroots organizing and it kind of,
Leonardo:it may have started during the pandemic, even just with mutual aid networks that
Leonardo:sprang up to help each other's neighbors when, because it became clear that our
Leonardo:government wasn't gonna do it for us.
Leonardo:And these mutual aid networks have just grown and they've become tighter
Leonardo:and they've e expanded their focus.
Leonardo:And so I think that's gonna be kind of a vector through which peace
Leonardo:might eventually be possible for us.
Monisha:I wholeheartedly agree and not just because I work in mutual aid now.
Monisha:It, I think honestly, strategically the value of mutual aid work and
Monisha:the capacity it lends, if Mutual Aid networks can be better supported and
Monisha:greater expanded, I think that would better equip the masses in the US
Monisha:to do and maintain a general strike.
Monisha:Because I think a lot of people don't participate in protest, and don't
Monisha:participate in Strikes because of.
Monisha:A lack of support.
Monisha:You have a lot of people who have children, a lot of people who
Monisha:are ill, a lot of people who have different mobility needs that
Monisha:are unsupported most of the time.
Monisha:And then you have, um, also the economic inaccessibility of
Monisha:traveling to protest locations, et cetera, et cetera, et cetera.
Monisha:So I think and then when we consider like why, what are the barriers to
Monisha:general strikes, sustained general strikes, like we can see historical
Monisha:examples of those being really powerful.
Monisha:And there have been many attempts.
Monisha:And I think being able to strengthen those mutual aid networks will
Monisha:absolutely make sustained general strike accessible and possible because
Monisha:people will have their basic needs met with those networks in place.
Monisha:And same with going out and doing mass protest.
Monisha:And I, I don't know.
Monisha:I have hope that's what gives me hope.
Monisha:Mutual aid is what gives me the most hope.
Monisha:That, and all of the educating that people are doing.
Monisha:And even though we don't like confrontation, confrontation is
Monisha:necessary sometimes in terms of like confronting ideas, confronting people
Monisha:with facts, confronting people, and disrupting false narratives.
Monisha:Like all of those things are so essential.
Monisha:So is there anything else that you want, anything that we haven't touched
Monisha:on yet that's really important to you that you want people to take home?
Monisha:From this,
Leonardo:I think we've touched on most things.
Leonardo:I just wanna kind of reiterate what Cuba's going through because you know,
Leonardo:uh, we see a lot of, in the media talk about, uh, humanitarian crisis in Cuba,
Leonardo:but it's not a humanitarian crisis.
Leonardo:It's a crime against humanity.
Leonardo:It's a crime that's being imposed by the United States that's
Leonardo:really starving Cuba of oil.
Leonardo:And that means a lot, right?
Leonardo:I mean, when we think of a country not being able to import oil, we might
Leonardo:not draw the connection that Cuba, you know, I think roughly 80% of its
Leonardo:electricity comes from fossil fuels burning oil to create electricity.
Leonardo:We don't have oil.
Leonardo:You have nationwide blackouts.
Leonardo:A nationwide blackouts means that hospitals don't have power.
Leonardo:If a hospital doesn't have power, a patient on a dialysis
Leonardo:machine is at risk of dying.
Leonardo:You know, and I think really when we look at this US warfare against Cuba,
Leonardo:we also have to highlight the fact that the first victims, excuse me.
Leonardo:When we look at the US warfare against Cuba, we, I really have
Leonardo:to highlight the fact that the first victims are children, right?
Leonardo:In Cuba child mortality, the number one cause of child mortality for kids
Leonardo:zero through five right now is cancer.
Leonardo:And the really sad thing is that it's treatable cancer, but the
Leonardo:Cubans can't get those medicines because of the US blockade.
Leonardo:And so, it's a lot of killing without bombs that's going on in Cuba.
Leonardo:And I would urge folks that if you can travel to Cuba, if you can't travel
Leonardo:to Cuba, find someone, an organization that is and donate so that they
Leonardo:can bring humanitarian into Cuba.
Leonardo:And like you said, all the last thing I would say is really political
Leonardo:education that's gonna be so key right now, because people are really
Leonardo:desperate for answers to be able to analyze everything that's going on.
Leonardo:And without that political education, we just leave it up.
Leonardo:We just leave it up to kind of more mainstream sources, then everything's
Leonardo:gonna continue on the same, and we're not gonna be able to break three of
Leonardo:imperialism of the US War machine.
Leonardo:But political education like this podcast is really key to that.
Monisha:Right on.
Monisha:Thank you so much Leonardo, for giving us your time tonight.
Monisha:And um, of course, whenever you have another opportunity to come back, I'm sure
Monisha:there's a lot more we can dive into, um, especially with, with Cuba and especially
Monisha:with not knowing what's gonna happen next.
Monisha:But yeah I echo that tremendously.
Monisha:I know I've, I've been to Cuba multiple times.
Monisha:Gone to a lot of the peace conferences there have been on delegations
Monisha:there and, and crossed from Havana to Guantanamo and seen, and then
Monisha:that was during the droughts.
Monisha:That was, um, that was, those were during Trump and Biden that I went.
Monisha:Um, so it was after things thawed and then got cold again.
Monisha:But I, I actually owe Cuban doctors my life.
Monisha:Um, and I owe Venezuela my life too.
Monisha:Because I was an election observer in the 2020 elections, presidential
Monisha:elections in Venezuela and got COVID.
Monisha:And I survived COVID because the Venezuelan government supported my life.
Monisha:They didn't allow me to go without healthcare.
Monisha:And that whole journey I got to see really up close and personal and
Monisha:talk with folks in the hospital, in the COVID ward and hear a bunch of
Monisha:different perspectives of why their daily lives were the way that they were.
Monisha:Not everyone shared the same opinion.
Monisha:And I mean, that's human nature, right?
Monisha:And especially when we don't see the arm of who's actually hurting us,
Monisha:we're going to, to lash out and blame whoever looks like they have power.
Monisha:And the Cuban doctors that were there in Venezuela gave me a treatment, and I just,
Monisha:I'm, I'm about to cry, but the nurses, the Venezuelan nurses, as much as they
Monisha:were struggling and they didn't, the, the hospital didn't have an x-ray machine.
Monisha:They couldn't do a chest x-ray on me.
Monisha:They didn't have a lot of the things that they needed.
Monisha:And people were dying, like one of the ladies that I made friends
Monisha:with died on the unit because they didn't have access to what they
Monisha:needed to be able to treat her.
Monisha:So I, I definitely my heart is with Venezuela, my heart is with Cuba.
Monisha:Not just because of what their love and solidarity and knowledge and compassion
Monisha:did for me personally, but because also we're relatives, and human beings.
Monisha:So yeah, if there's any, any kuban.
Monisha:So Vanessa,
Monisha:I love you all.
Monisha:Thank you.
Monisha:Thank you for existing Thank you for fighting.
Monisha:Thank you for.
Monisha:For being who you are and sharing the love that only us Latin Americans
Monisha:have for each other and for the world.
Monisha:But yeah.
Monisha:Leonardo, do you have any way for people to follow you to follow your work?
Monisha:And any other last words that you have for our listeners?
Leonardo:Well, first of all, I just really want to
Leonardo:thank you for the invitation.
Leonardo:It's been a really a pleasure to have this conversation with you
Leonardo:all, and those are really beautiful words that you just shared.
Leonardo:Uh, and I echo them as well.
Leonardo:Uh, if you wanna follow me, you can follow me on X. It's at Leonardo EFA.
Leonardo:I'm also an organizer with Code Pink and I'm gonna pitch an action that we're
Leonardo:doing if you go to www.codepink.org/act.
Leonardo:Cuba, we have a, an action calling for the Senate to pass
Leonardo:a war powers resolution on Cuba.
Leonardo:Uh, the threat against Cuba right now is very real.
Leonardo:It's a military threat and we cannot underestimate it.
Leonardo:And we've gotta push our representatives, our senators to take action.
Leonardo:Uh, you know, it might not be successful, but we still have to do it anyway to show
Leonardo:them that there is pe our people in the United States who do not want this war.
Leonardo:Thank you so much for allowing me to be here today.
Monisha:Right on.
Monisha:Alright, well, thank you Leonardo again for sharing your
Monisha:time, thoughts and experience.
Monisha:And everybody at home that's listening.
Monisha:Stay safe, stay healthy, don't stop, don't give up on hope.
Monisha:And, um, we'll see you all the next time.
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